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2024-12-14 11:20:04

As of the close of 23:00, the main domestic futures contracts fell more and rose less. No.20 rubber fell by nearly 3%, BR rubber fell by nearly 2%, and rubber, caustic soda, vegetable oil, rapeseed meal and hot coil fell by over 1%. In terms of increase, palm oil rose by nearly 1%.Sony rose more than 2% and hit a new high. Institutions are optimistic about its unique positioning. SONY.US rose more than 2%, hitting a maximum of $22.67, a record high since February 2022. Sony's Japanese shares rose nearly 3% today, once again hitting a record high. In the news, Sony previously announced that for the current fiscal year that will end at the end of March next year, the expected operating profit will reach 1.31 trillion yen, about six times that of fiscal year 1999. Among them, the entertainment business is expected to contribute 60% of the overall profit, while the electronic business is no longer reported as a department alone. Yasuo Nakane, head of global technology research at Mizuho, explained that Sony has a horizontal axis in film, music, games and animation, and a vertical axis from production to distribution. The company also has electronic technology, including image sensors, cameras and software, which makes it in a unique position compared with Apple, Netflix or Samsung.The main force of Brent crude oil futures fell by 1.01% in the day to 72.80 US dollars/barrel.


Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)European Central Bank President Lagarde: We must be very cautious. European Central Bank President Lagarde: We must be very cautious because service prices and wages are rising rapidly. Financial difficulties are self-created uncertainties.Hangzhou real estate new regulations will be implemented tomorrow, and the housing rate will be improved. official website of Hangzhou Bureau of Planning and Resources issued the Notice of Hangzhou Bureau of Planning and Natural Resources on Optimizing the Calculation Rules of Floor Area Ratio and Related Indicators of Construction Projects. This notice shall come into force as of December 13, 2024. After the implementation of the transfer project, the transfer project that has obtained the transfer decision and the newly established reconstruction and expansion project shall be implemented in accordance with the requirements of this notice. If the previous relevant policies are inconsistent with this notice, this notice shall prevail. This means that from tomorrow, all the newly-sold homesteads in Hangzhou can enjoy the new regulations on area identification, such as the closed balcony is only half the area, and the open wind and rain corridor is not included. The biggest surprise is the first article of the new regulations, which encourages diversified parking forms to meet the minimum parking standards, such as independent parking buildings, parking spaces under the ground floor overhead platforms and multi-storey parking spaces inside buildings. For cost reasons, some developers will cancel underground parking spaces and change them into ground parking buildings, and the design of traditional residential quarters in Hangzhou will usher in great changes. As a result, the housing rate of new houses in Hangzhou will increase in the future, and developers will not only have more room to build quality supporting facilities in the community, but also greatly increase the saleable value.


Liu Xiaochun, Vice President of Shanghai New Finance Research Institute: Small and medium-sized financial institutions may focus on capital increase, restructuring and mergers and acquisitions. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to effectively prevent and resolve risks in key areas and firmly hold the bottom line of no systematic risks. The meeting also proposed that the risks of local small and medium-sized financial institutions should be properly handled. Liu Xiaochun, vice president of Shanghai Institute of New Finance and Shanghai Jiaotong University Institute of Finance, believes that local debt risks are gradually being resolved, and efforts should be made to resolve real estate risks and risks of small and medium-sized financial institutions in the next stage. (SSE)US National Security Adviser Sullivan: We are seeking to reach a hostage release agreement and cease fire; Ceasefire and hostage agreement will begin to bring hostages home and greatly increase aid to Gaza.European Central Bank President Lagarde: Due to the lack of budgets submitted by member States, there is uncertainty. Elections in various countries also lead to their own uncertainties.

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